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Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rune vs Sinner analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Rune 2 - 2 Sinner

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rune has won 54.65% of points on their second serve, while Sinner has won 57.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rune, in recent form, has won 49.24% of their opponent's second serve points, while Sinner has won 55.4%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.01% and 34.16% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Rune has saved 67.86% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sinner has saved 75.48% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Rune has won 58.06% of matches played (W/L 36/ 26), with Sinner winning 87.18% (W/L 68/ 10) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Rune has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 73% (W/L 60/ 22), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 53% (W/L 40/ 35). Sinner has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 88/ 24), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 14/ 10).
  • Player level: In the last year, Rune has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.86% of matches (W/L 19/ 9), where as Sinner has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 85.19% of matches (W/L 23/ 4). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Rune winning 2 times and Sinner being victorious 2 times. They have played 12 sets in total, with Rune winning 6 and Sinner winning 6. The last match between Rune and Sinner was at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo, 12-04-2024, Quarterfinals, Clay with Jannik Sinner getting the victory 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:37:12.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Rune and Sinner have played a deciding set 3 times, with Rune winning 1 times and Sinner 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Rune winning 1, and Sinner 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rune has played against opponents with an average rank of 141.23 while Sinner has played against players with an average rank of 82.17.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rune has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sinner has won 77% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Rune has converted 34.93% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sinner has converted 45.85% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Holger Rune

13

Total

1

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

4

Minor

15

Rank

4

High

21

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

2

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

1

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

1

Rank

1

High

22

Age

R

Plays

Jannik Sinner

18

Total

2

Mast

3

Chall

1

Slam

10

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

2

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

1

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

W W L W L W W W W L

Form

L W W W W W W W W L

66% (227-117)

Career Total W/L

72% (304-120)

67% (22-11)

YTD W/L

92% (33-3)

$6,013,560

Career Prize Money

$15,419,015

0

YTD Titles

3

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Rune VS Sinner H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Holger Rune Jannik Sinner
All H2H Matches 2 2
Sets Won 6 6
Games Won 58 64
Aces (Total) 32 27
DFs (Total) 18 8
Avg Match Time 2:37:12 2:37:12
1st Serve % 62% (242/392) 60% (221/370)
1st Serve Win% 74% (179/242) 76% (168/221)
2nd Serve Win% 46% (69/150) 60% (89/149)
BPs Won% (Total) 28% (7/25) 29% (9/31)
Return Points W% 31% (113/370) 37% (144/392)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 50% (4/2)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 50% (4/2)
1st set L, W 50% (4/2) 0% (0/0)

Rune VS Sinner H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-7(6) 6-3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Holger Rune
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
53% ( 50 of 95)
5
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
5
87% ( 46 of 53)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 41 of 50)
68% ( 25 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 19 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 32 of 95)
103
Total Points Won
82
6-2 5-7 6-4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Holger Rune
58% ( 49 of 84)
1st Serve %
64% ( 70 of 109)
11
Aces
15
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 41 of 49)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 50 of 70)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 16 of 39)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 43 of 109)
105
Total Points Won
88
1-6 7-5 7-5
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Jannik Sinner
65% ( 56 of 86)
1st Serve %
56% ( 65 of 116)
4
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
5
68% ( 38 of 56)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 42 of 65)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 29 of 51)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
37% ( 32 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 45 of 116)
99
Total Points Won
103
5-7 6-4 5-2 ret.
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Jannik Sinner
65% ( 66 of 102)
1st Serve %
68% ( 54 of 80)
7
Aces
11
5
Double Faults
1
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
42% ( 15 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
36% ( 37 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 27 of 80)
92
Total Points Won
90

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Holger Rune Jannik Sinner
YTD W/L 67% (22/11) 92% (33/3)
Sets Win/Loss 62% (55/34) 84% (81/15)
Games Win/Loss 52% (460/429) 62% (552/339)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (10/5) 94% (17/1)
Clay Win/Loss 69% (9/4) 85% (11/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 60% (3/2) 100% (5/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.5 0.44
Aces Total 218 192
DFs per game 0.2 0.15
DFs Total 89 67
Avg Match Time 2:9:56 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 167.76 94.58
1st Serve % 60% (1708/2848) 62% (1632/2628)
1st Serve W% 73% (1246/1708) 79% (1288/1632)
2nd Serve W% 55% (623/1140) 58% (573/996)
BPs Won% Total 35% (80/229) 46% (138/301)
Return Pts W% 36% (1005/2792) 42% (1207/2877)
Slam W/L 67% (4/2) 92% (12/1)
Masters W/L 60% (6/4) 89% (16/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (12/5) 100% (5/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (18/27) 91% (20/22)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 92% (12/13)
TBs Win% (Total) 84% (16/19) 67% (4/6)
Deciding Set W% 62% (8/13) 63% (5/8)
1st set W, W 90% (21/19) 94% (31/29)
1st set W, L 10% (21/2) 6% (31/2)
1st set L, W 25% (12/3) 80% (5/4)

Holger Rune Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Holger Rune
71% ( 97 of 136)
1st Serve %
57% ( 96 of 168)
16
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 74 of 97)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 63 of 96)
44% ( 17 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 33 of 72)
35% ( 8 of 23)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
33% ( 45 of 136)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 72 of 168)
163
Total Points Won
141
L
4-6 6-1 5-7 7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Jozef Kovalik
53% ( 53 of 100)
1st Serve %
62% ( 64 of 103)
5
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
6
72% ( 38 of 53)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 35 of 64)
62% ( 29 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 33 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 103)
114
Total Points Won
89
W
7-5 6-1 7-6(2) H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Flavio Cobolli
52% ( 79 of 152)
1st Serve %
54% ( 94 of 173)
3
Aces
14
7
Double Faults
6
73% ( 58 of 79)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 70 of 94)
58% ( 42 of 73)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 40 of 79)
21% ( 4 of 19)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
34% ( 52 of 152)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 63 of 173)
163
Total Points Won
162
W
6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-6(7) H2H
R1
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Daniel Evans
59% ( 57 of 96)
1st Serve %
49% ( 49 of 101)
8
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 43 of 57)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 34 of 49)
56% ( 22 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 27 of 52)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 40 of 101)
105
Total Points Won
92
W
6-4 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Luca Nardi
58% ( 39 of 67)
1st Serve %
47% ( 28 of 59)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 20 of 28)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
28% ( 19 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 22 of 59)
70
Total Points Won
56
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Tallon Griekspoor
Player
Holger Rune
62% ( 52 of 84)
1st Serve %
64% ( 67 of 105)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
81% ( 42 of 52)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 22 of 38)
17% ( 2 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 41 of 105)
103
Total Points Won
86
L
6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Mariano Navone
66% ( 86 of 131)
1st Serve %
69% ( 73 of 106)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
65% ( 56 of 86)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 43 of 73)
47% ( 21 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
41% ( 54 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 42 of 106)
119
Total Points Won
118
W
5-7 7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Jan-Lennard Struff
Player
Holger Rune
56% ( 20 of 36)
1st Serve %
63% ( 26 of 41)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 19 of 20)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
19% ( 7 of 36)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
53
Total Points Won
24
L
6-2 6-0 H2H
QF
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Marc-Andrea Huesler
68% ( 52 of 76)
1st Serve %
68% ( 49 of 72)
3
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
79% ( 41 of 52)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 33 of 49)
63% ( 15 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 20 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 25 of 72)
81
Total Points Won
67
W
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Daniel Elahi Galan
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
66% ( 43 of 65)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
93% ( 26 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 25 of 43)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
28% ( 15 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 29 of 65)
68
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-2 H2H

Jannik Sinner Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
66% ( 103 of 157)
1st Serve %
56% ( 76 of 135)
8
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
8
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 56 of 76)
46% ( 25 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
41% ( 64 of 157)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 52 of 135)
145
Total Points Won
147
L
2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
60% ( 53 of 89)
1st Serve %
63% ( 67 of 106)
8
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
5
81% ( 43 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 45 of 67)
64% ( 23 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 17 of 39)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 23 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
110
Total Points Won
85
W
6-2 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Corentin Moutet
65% ( 62 of 95)
1st Serve %
72% ( 71 of 99)
5
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
2
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 39 of 71)
42% ( 14 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 8 of 28)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
38% ( 36 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 52 of 99)
111
Total Points Won
83
W
2-6 6-3 6-2 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Pavel Kotov
63% ( 52 of 83)
1st Serve %
65% ( 64 of 99)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
79% ( 41 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 47 of 64)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 21 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 36 of 99)
98
Total Points Won
84
W
6-4 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Richard Gasquet
76% ( 58 of 76)
1st Serve %
49% ( 45 of 92)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
79% ( 46 of 58)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 43 of 92)
98
Total Points Won
70
W
6-4 6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Christopher Eubanks
61% ( 54 of 89)
1st Serve %
59% ( 55 of 93)
6
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
9
78% ( 42 of 54)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
51% ( 18 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
33% ( 29 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 44 of 93)
104
Total Points Won
78
W
6-3 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
L
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Karen Khachanov
69% ( 59 of 85)
1st Serve %
69% ( 58 of 84)
5
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
0
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 39 of 58)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 17 of 26)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
28% ( 24 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 28 of 84)
89
Total Points Won
80
W
5-7 6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Pavel Kotov
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
56% ( 34 of 61)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
71% ( 27 of 38)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
37% ( 21 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 30 of 61)
66
Total Points Won
52
W
6-2 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve %
59% ( 26 of 44)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
62% ( 8 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 9 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 23 of 44)
56
Total Points Won
30
W
6-0 6-3 H2H

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